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State of the Industry Report '08

Confronted by changing ways of doing business and a difficult economic climate, the gift industry forges ahead — with fortitude and caution.

By Caroline Kennedy -- Gifts & Decorative Accessories, 11/1/2008

If one had to describe the state of the gift industry in 2008 in one word, that word would be 'challenged.' This has been a difficult year for business overall and especially for the gift and decorative accessories industry. Independent retailers are struggling against competition from big box stores, chains and the Internet for a shrinking portion of the consumer's discretionary spending. They are challenged to hold onto their niche by providing a merchandise mix and service to attract customers and stand up profitably against their larger competition.

Vendors are struggling against the weak value of the dollar, rising costs of doing business and a shrinking retail customer base. They are challenged to hold down prices and maintain quality, while consistently producing fresh, new, salable lines.

Trade show managers are struggling against increasingly aggressive competition from each other and the Internet, an encroachment on their exhibitors and buyers from other industries' shows, and fewer buyers at market due to rising travel costs and a decline in the number of independent retail stores.

Yet, as dire as the news reports may seem, the industry continues to forge ahead. Its strength lays in its foundational elements: entrepreneurial independence, creativity and an occasion-driven base that consistently drives sales. Those sales tally up quite respectably.

A look at three categories

In 2007, Gifts & Decorative Accessories tackled the formidable job of attempting to put a price tag on the overall size of the gifts and decorative accessories industry. Using data available from reliable, vetted sources such as the U.S. Department of Commerce and others, as well as our own retail group's research department, we reported in our first State of the Industry Report an impressive number — more than $360 billion dollars at retail. That figure, however represented a sales universe that included far more retail outlets than what we regard as our gift and home decor retail sales channel. Because of the private and often entrepreneurial nature of our segment of the industry, exact figures are difficult to obtain. Nevertheless, the figure is eye-opening, and certainly a significant portion of that number comes from our gift channel.

For part of this year's report, our researchers went back to their resources to see what difference a year has made. We focused on three product categories to show what they represent in terms of consumer spending over the period of 1990–2008. The categories are: jewelry and watches; china, glassware, tableware and utensils; and greeting cards.

The timeline is interesting: Over the period charted, sales in both jewelry and the china/glass categories more than doubled. Yet sales of greeting cards only grew by about half, indicating the change in how we communicate, with electronic media more — email and e-greetings — and hand-written words less.

Putting those categories into greater perspective, consumer spending from 2000–2008 on jewelry/watches and china/glassware each increased by 33 percent over the eight years, while spending on gasoline, fuel oil and other energy goods increased by a dramatic 128 percent. That larger portion of the consumer dollar spent on a necessity such as gasoline, means fewer dollars to spend elsewhere on such things as jewelry or gifts.

While the outlook remains tense and difficult times still lay ahead, the industry remains steady and hopeful, knowing that people will celebrate birthdays and Christmas, get married, set up homes and have babies. These speak to the core of the gift industry and what drives it.

Gasoline, fuel oil, and other energy goods 128%
Television receivers, video cassette recorders, and videotapes 57%
Pet food 55%
Computers, peripherals, and software 49%
Food purchased for off-premise consumption 49%
All consumer spending 49%
Small electric appliances 37%
China, glassware, tableware, and utensils 33%
Jewelry and watches 33%
Toys, dolls, and games 33%
Clothing for infants 29%
Major household appliances 28%
Furniture, including mattresses and bedsprings 24%
Greeting cards 9%
New autos 0%
2008 base equals first six months spending annualized. That is, if spending for the year continues at the same paces as the first six months this will be the 2008 total spending.
Source: Dept. of Commerce and Gifts & Decorative Accessories Market research

 

To Market, To Market: Gift Trade Shows In 2008

Many trade shows experienced a decline in buyer traffic; a recent item on TradeShowWeek.com (October 10) reported: “According to the most recent Las Vegas Convention & Visitors Authority Executive Summary, convention attendance in the city for the month of August dropped 22 percent to 574,184 attendees from 739,215 attendees in the same period in 2007.” While this figure is a broader representation than of one individual gift and home furnishings show, it is notable; during August, Las Vegas played host to the Las Vegas Market (which reported an increase in attendance of 15 percent more retailers and 320 new exhibitors) and four other industry-related shows.

Reports from trade show managers within the gift industry also noted a decline in buyer traffic. Although attendance may have been down, a majority of vendors noted that sales were relatively good, and many were impressed with the quality of the buyers. Cindy Morris, COO, Dallas Market Center, put it into perspective: “The most important market indicator is showroom sales, and our exhibitors reported that retailers came to market ready to buy.”

Merchandise Mart Properties' vice president Craig Dooley echoed the observation, “Our showrooms' and exhibitors' success at market resulted from the serious retailers who were shopping with intent to discover and order the product that consumers want.”

DMC's Morris also noted that international attendance was up significantly, a trend supported by Las Vegas Market and New York International Gift Fair. That increased presence is very likely an up side to the weak dollar!

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